Tag Archives: Josh Mandel

Too Soon?

Tonight on twitter, I saw former MO Senator Jeff Smith comment that Josh Mandel of Ohio “is about as likely to be a Senator as Wendy Long [NY].”

Only when I expanded his quote did I see that he was answering a question with some snark, rather than pontificating independently.

Wendy Long is a candidate that has little/no chance of beating Kirsten Gillibrand. Josh Mandel, however, has a much better shot of unseating Sherrod Brown in Ohio. Smith’s comments are either uninformed or absurd.

A cursory review:

Wendy Long is down 37 points in a recent poll and has $96,411 in the bank. Kirsten Gillibrand has $10.5 million in the bank.

Josh Mandel is down 4 points in a July 18 Rasmussen poll. Huffington Post notes “Brown has raised $15.3 million to date, compared to Mandel’s $9.9 million. He also has about $6.5 million on hand, compared to Mandel’s $4.9 million.” Mandel recently claimed, and Politifact found “Mostly True,” that Sherrod Brown’s approval ratings have plummeted.

So, for Jeff Smith to say that Mandel is about as likely to be a Senator as Wendy Long is asinine. This from a guy who has a PhD in political science. My snarky reply is below. It’s snarky because Smith was sentenced to jail for a year and a day for obstruction of justice.

Too soon?

I’ll have you know that I was considering saying “You’d know about unrealistic bids first hand, you thought you could be a Congressman.” But that would give him too much credit. He was wrong about his chances and wrong about Mandel’s.

But what do I know? 

Update: John Celock notes in HuffPo that OHSEN has seen some of the highest independent expenditures of any Senate race, a sign that it is competitive.

Update #2: Jeff responds. I guess my comments hit too close to home. His switch to “wanna bet” is a nice way of avoiding the fact that the numbers don’t confirm his prediction that the likelihood of Mandel winning is “about as likely” as Wendy Long. Smoke and mirrors. Did Jeff study statistics?

My response:

Update #3: The snark-fest has subsided and Mr. Smith and I have agreed to a gentleman’s bet of a beer at Humphrey’s.

Tuesday Links

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Opening Links

Hey Girl It’s Paul Ryan Meme

Fox News: 5 arrested for allegedly trying to blow up Ohio bridge

Newsnet5: Occupy Cleveland cancels ‘May Day’ rally, says bomb suspects involved with movement

Regular Links:

Mitchell: The Moral Case for Capitalism and Small Government

Marginal Revolution: Paul vs. Paul debate | video

Funny or Die: West Wing Reunion

Boston Herald: Elizabeth Warren’s embattled campaign: Cherokee tie found 5 generations ago

Deadspin: Twitter Asshole Joe Cowley Had Me Fired From The Sun-Times

TWS: Richard Mourdock may be on his way to toppling Dick Lugar | Obama Team Scrubs Solyndra from Latest Campaign Ad

ProfSwitzer: Farewell to his union

Boom. Roasted.

Roll Call: Landrieu Chief of Staff Is not Trapped in the Philippines

AFF: Writing well is key

Daily Caller: Lovitz explains his anti-Obama taxation rant to Dr. Drew [VIDEO]

Elizabeth Santorum joins HotAir.com

JimSwifts in the news

Gizmodo: An Alabama Police Department Has No Idea Why It Owns Two Drones

CE: Tire Tariffs: Saving Jobs at $900,000 Apiece

Deadspin: Is An ESPN Columnist Scamming People On The Internet?

Bernie Kosar Endorses Josh Mandel

Wednesday Links

Toy Jeep

Josh Mandel: Ad — Boots

DCist: Former Library of Congress Staffer Says He Faced Constant Harassment After Supervisors Learned He Is Gay

[poll id=”14″]

Heaton: Hologram celebrities

Good news for Jim Green: Obama Campaign office opens on Columbia Pike

Reason: David Harsanyi on Obama’s Speculator Witch Hunt

Reason: Chef Geoff has won the battle, will he win the war?

GGW: Why Flatfare is a bad idea

[poll id=”15″]

CafeHayek: A Banana Republic, Unless You Can Avoid It

MR: Debtor’s Prison for Failure to Pay for Your Own Trial | The idea of the “food desert” is fading

WSJ: Amb. Kirk: Rethinking ‘Made in America’

Gizmodo: Pranking the Pentagon | 191 Pieces of Proof that Instagram Is Just Tops

Volokh: When Rent Control Becomes A Taking (Bis)

Ameican: The First Carbon Trade War?

Wonkette: California Innovates New Immigrant-Hating Treehugger Fusion Wingnut

Sen. Reid: Seniors love junk mail (esp. scams!)

Examiner: FLOTUS invokes dad’s MS to attack Romney

Scene: Free cupcakes gone wrong

WSJ: Robert Leider: Understanding ‘Stand Your Ground’ |  Jenkins: The Inequality Obsession |  Shutting Down ALEC

Audio: Obama on eating dogs

FamousDC: Alec Baldwin Recalls Days as a Congressional Intern

Super Wednesday Links

Braddock

Roll Call: In Upset, Schmidt Goes Down in Ohio

FNCPolitics: Kucinich on losing primary to Kaptur: ‘I’d like to be able to congratulate her but she ran a media campaign ‘utterly lacking in integrity.’

CNN: Loudly Catholic Santorum loses Ohio Catholics

Marketplace: VIDEO: Super PAC Mad Libs

Bill Pullman: Alternate Independence Day Speech

Cleveland: Cleveland Browns: Joe Haden or Joe Thomas for the Madden 13 cover? Poll

Vanity Fair: West Wing Babies

Walter Williams: So many myths about trade deficits (ps, Examiner your web ads are annoying)

Seems I didn't fare so well in my predictions

Win Free Breakfast At Einstein Bagels For An ENTIRE YEAR

Lifehacker: Three Annoying and Unnecessary Things Companies Do to Get More of Your Money (and How You Can Stop Them)

Thought of the day from one of my favorite former economics professors:

Trying to understand how the same people who say drilling for oil is not the answer because it takes a decade to come online are also giving credit to a president who has been in office 3 years for increases in domestic oil production.

Our President as an annoying, self-righteous twenty something (I guess we have more in common than I thought, except maybe that he hasn’t changed.)

OTB: Buzzfeed Uncovers Video Of Obama At Harvard In 1991

The White House Doodles John Ehrlichman

Madden ’13 Cover — VOTE NOW -> http://on.fb.me/A0saLG

NYC Folks — visit this place

Slab City (one nsfw)

NewsNet5: Lawyer: Vatican overrules 13 Cleveland church closings

DailyCaller: Lottery winner using food stamps: ‘I thought maybe it was okay because I’m not working’

Maher: Liberals Looks Bad For Not Accepting Rush’s Apology (Read: Quit so conservatives will stop bringing me up)

Gawker: Columbia J-School Grad Submits Most Passive-Aggressively Vicious Alumni Update Ever

Elisha Cuthbert is master of impressions

The age-old argument: Maryland vs. Virginia

Mediaite: Imus Calls Into Cavuto’s Election Night Coverage, Proceeds To Trash Him, Fox Business, Everything

Perspective: How many citizens (per capita) in Virginia Santorum and Gingrich would have needed to sign something to make the primary ballot

Super Tuesday Links

Metro car

Atlantic: Is Josh Mandel the Next Marco Rubio?

 Mandel, who is Jewish, has the air of a precocious, recently bar mitzvahed student, or perhaps a studious, slightly cocky frat boy. (As an undergraduate at Ohio State, Mandel was a member of Alpha Epsilon Pi, the Jewish fraternity; he went on to earn a law degree from Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland.) And while he is undeniably skilled at rattling off his familiar lines, he quickly turns evasive or just blank on unfamiliar ground.

I disagree with Molly Ball’s description of Josh here. For full disclosure, I know Josh. He is a great person and will make a great U.S. Senator from Ohio. I’ve never known him to be cocky or evasive. And who would blame anyone for being “blank” on unfamiliar ground? Smart people don’t make dumb statements about topics on which they are not experts. It’s an interesting article, but you can tell Molly doesn’t like Mandel, and it shows. I’m confident that Mandel will make his case to the voters in November, and they’ll choose him over Sherrod Brown.

One commenter, presumably a Democrat (who identifies as a Marine, the branch of service of Josh Mandel) hits the nail on the head:

I’m of a different political persuasion than Mr. Mandel, but good grief Molly Ball, this article is dripping with disdain, down to the Mandel’s waitress with ” bad skin and dyed-black hair.”

Why drag poor Amanda into your hit piece???

Report to Mr. Fallows’ office immediately…

WaPo: Obama shifts location of G-8 summit from hometown of Chicago to his Camp David retreat (whoever thought putting the G-8 in any place other than Camp David is stupid and should be fired. Come on, really?)

Reason: Arlington County Housing Division Hosts “Housing 4 Hipsters” Happy Hour to Help Hipsters Find Housing Assistance (the same brilliant minds that brought you free bike helmets)

ARLNOW: Housing 4 Hipsters

ARLNOW: Bicycle Derby to Take Over Crystal City Parking Garage (Too bad the derby is not like roller derby)

Reason: Maryland Handgun Permit Restrictions Found Unconstitutional by Federal Judge

Why do people hate billboards? (esp. in DC)

Reason: It’s Like Totally Different When a Liberal Blowhard Guy Calls a Conservative Woman a Twat!

RFT: Anheuser-Busch Test Markets Margarita-Flavored Beer

Ivers: Maldives

InTrade: Romney’s chances of winning Ohio

Cleveland.com: Cleveland Browns linebacker Scott Fujita says he’s ‘paid out a lot of money for big plays,’ but never to hurt a player: report

MR: Does inequality lead to a financial crisis?

Quitting as a Rush Limbaugh sponsor has really helped Carbonite

io9: The 1935 plan to use rocket airplanes to deliver US mail

KMW: You’re Fat and You Know It: Why Government Anti-Obesity Efforts Fail

The only ways the Cubs will ever win the series (they could make one about the Browns’ Superbowl hopes)

Get your business online

NDC: That’s okay. Rick Santorum ran out of money in 2006, too.

Marcy Kaptur’s hit on Dennis Kucinich

NR: In California, Whom Will They Blame?

Seems my poll workers have a sense of humor

HOW I VOTED: I voted for Mitt Romney. I voted at about 9:45 and I was voter #5. In Virginia, only two names were on the ballot — Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. Santorum and Gingrich were too disorganized to make the ballot. I like a lot of what Ron Paul has to say (except on most of his foreign policy views and the Gold standard) but I couldn’t vote for him.

Wonkette back-alley trash operative “Jim S.”

MR: Democracy, wealth, and local stimulus spending

DC IS NOT A STATE

How do I get one of these?

STLBiz: SLU delays law school move until 2013

Cleveland.com: Cleveland faces complaint over stadium repair contract

WSJ: Reagan Was A Sure Loser Too

Wired: Uncle Sam: If It Ends in .Com, It’s .Seizable

Watched this last night on Netflix. Great movie.

JIM MORAN: NO FAN OF “PROFANITY”

DCist: Bloodthirsty Aliens, Cannibalism, Ants Nesting in Brains: Elementary School Teacher Fired for Assigning Seriously F’ed Up Math Homework

Dollar Shave Club has funny ads (h/t metz)

SUPER TUESDAY DATA FROM GOOGLE

Huffpo: Warren Buffett Company: Please Cut Our Taxes

WSJ: State-Owned Oil Companies vs. the Free Market

He does love saying “Congratulations” and who let the dogs out? (Secret Browns fan, perhaps?)

Bracketology: A History of Power Conference Bias

Pictures of people scanning QR codes

Lulzsec taking down by feds

WASHU apparently hates cats (animal testing is fine by me)

Introducing Google Play for developers (Android Developers Blog)

Introducing Google Play for consumers (Official Google Blog)

WaPo: EXIT POLLS: Economy is top issue again, and voters want business experience more than government

Tuesday Links

Silly protectionists...

A new article on Bomble.net

e21: Industrial policy still doesn’t work

CafeHayek: Do Political Borders Possess Transformative Powers?

DangerRoom: Video: Navy Fires Off Its New, Weaponized Railgun

Gizmodo: That truck that exploded last night was invented by Roger Penske, a racing mogul born in Shaker Heights.

Report on Milwaukee school vouchers

Crim Law: In cartoons

StLToday: Billikens’ final home game will have high drama

SLU Billikens vs. Xavier “White Out” t-shirt time lapse

NYTimes: In the future, everybody will pay $200 more for a car to prevent roughly 100 deaths per year (This is the Virgina Graeme Baker Pool Spa and Safety Act all over again. Totally inappropriate regulatory action. On the plus side, maybe we’ll get more videos like these?)

NakedDC: I did not have this much sex is law school.

Because based on the amount these Georgetown Law students say they’re spending on birth control – a number that is, presumably supposed to make me feel sorry for them because they are unable to acquire their birth control for free – they can’t possibly have any hope of passing any class, or taking on any career.

Reason: Do Dolphins and Whales Have Rights?

HuffPo: Confessions Of An Airport Shuttle Van Driver

NFL Logo Progression

Check out one shares, a simple and easy way to share information with other people that self-destructs after viewing.

RollCall: Claire McCaskill’s Mountain: A Tough Climb to Victory

Politico: Congress 2012: The 5 ugliest member vs. member battles

GGW: Liquor laws, lacking nightlife hurt Silver Spring bars [Maryland with stupid laws? Say it ain’t so!]

GGW: The purple line is already experiencing some troubles

Josh Mandel Stops By WTVG Studios To Discuss Keeping Jobs In Ohio

Gawker: A Comprehensive Guide to the Illuminati, the Conspiracy Theory That Connects Jay-Z and Queen Elizabeth

Businessweek: Fastenal’s Runaway Stock Success (imagine if you bought their stock in 1987)

Businessweek: Mitt Romney’s Box of Kryptonite

Lifehacker: How You’re Breaking the Law Every Day (and What You Can Do About It)

HumanEvents: Strongest case against Romney a few sheets short of a ream

Rolled up magazine self defense

What a cool camera

Kyl: Time to put the doctor limits to rest – for good

PhxNewTimes: Wil Cardon, Wealthy Candidate for U.S. Senate, Presses On Despite Bleak Poll Numbers

Cleveland Scene: Media Hunts for School Shooting Info, Interviews on Twitter to Mixed Results (some links nsfw)